Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 9.857373e-01 1.241346 1.525010 1.859896 2.241225 2.658866 3.147772
2025-02-09 5.385618e-01 0.832826 1.201783 1.683398 2.280915 2.984281 3.861095
2025-02-16 2.944441e-01 0.578048 0.983833 1.567867 2.350041 3.327668 4.607969
2025-02-23 1.694413e-01 0.432623 0.863209 1.540750 2.508704 3.777668 5.502966
2025-03-02 8.897767e-02 0.314838 0.744692 1.485069 2.609218 4.147320 6.307248
2025-03-09 5.598570e-02 0.267515 0.723961 1.565475 2.899458 4.778405 7.473795
2025-03-16 2.852288e-02 0.207789 0.660117 1.560904 3.056483 5.227398 8.409523
2025-03-23 1.794134e-02 0.186989 0.666246 1.672322 3.393857 5.940805 9.724417
2025-03-30 9.726256e-03 0.161745 0.653648 1.745316 3.671363 6.575205 10.945767
2025-04-06 4.118360e-03 0.133617 0.623343 1.778064 3.881663 7.115022 12.046031
2025-04-13 8.549238e-04 0.099450 0.561293 1.736275 3.960492 7.457153 12.870931
2025-04-20 1.006236e-04 0.080202 0.532662 1.756414 4.142342 7.957209 13.930025
2025-04-27 1.756351e-08 0.065196 0.511404 1.791840 4.357807 8.524296 15.113614
2025-05-04 NaN 0.043986 0.451221 1.728169 4.389719 8.805551 15.886705
2025-05-11 NaN 0.028389 0.397283 1.666714 4.417914 9.078541 16.651439
2025-05-18 NaN 0.020269 0.370842 1.668161 4.562793 9.541309 17.707705
2025-05-25 NaN 0.012355 0.331061 1.624779 4.615407 9.852727 18.539865
2025-06-01 NaN 0.010942 0.339732 1.718593 4.944730 10.628794 20.091916
2025-06-08 NaN 0.007132 0.317571 1.718152 5.082579 11.088172 21.166143
2025-06-15 NaN 0.006880 0.334853 1.839386 5.474817 11.982874 22.923029
2025-06-22 NaN 0.005733 0.338493 1.918515 5.782485 12.740278 24.477717
2025-06-29 NaN 0.004044 0.328898 1.954121 6.000210 13.348983 25.810075
2025-07-06 NaN 0.001919 0.296910 1.909933 6.045672 13.663163 26.687690